The Put & Call Tactician
Market Comment: Our indicators are giving neutral to bearish readings. The market should continue to decline over the next week as the international picture looks dangerous. But there is a strong historical tendency for a rally to begin on about Friday.
Date:01-20-06
Next Report:01-28-06
Below you can get Streaming Stock Quotes.
To use our Option Calculator, make sure to enter the volatility under the heading VL TY in the Option Stock Surveillance.
Click Above! Updated Daily
Our 2000 Track Record!
The results from all the Profit Box positions recommended in The Put & Call Tactician for the year 2000 are listed below . This track record is theoretical and assumes that you were able to take profits at the profit goal or exit at the stop-loss option price when the stock hit the profit goal or closed below the stop-loss price. or were able to get the corresponding option pirce in the Option Box at the end of the 3-week hold period. There were three exceptions where the stock price gapped up or down.
As with any track record, you cannot assume that present or future recommendations will equal past performance. Commissions are not included in these track rccord results.
A summary of the results shows that we recommended 188 positions. 49% were profitable. If you would have purchased one of each of the options, you would have invested $43,700 . Your profit before commissions would have been $13,700 or a 31% return for holding the position a maximum of three weeks. Here the annualized return would be over a 600% return. -----Ken Trester
Our 2001 Track Record!
The results from all the Profit Box positions recommended in The Put & Call Tactician for the year 2001 are listed below . This track record is theoretical and assumes that you were able to take profits at the profit goal or exit at the stop-loss option price when the stock hit the profit goal or closed below the stop-loss price. or were able to get the corresponding option price in the Option Box at the end of the 3-week hold period.
As with any track record, you cannot assume that present or future recommendations will equal past performance. Commissions are not included in these track rccord results.
A summary of the results shows that we recommended 169 positions. 44% were profitable. If you would have purchased one of each of the options, you would have invested $32,480 . Your profit before commissions would have been $5,700 or a 17.5% return for holding the position a maximum of three weeks. Here the annualized return would be a 251% return. Over 10 option positions almost hit their profit goal but eventually were stopped out. Therefore, be aggressive about taking profits on half of your position even if it does not hit the profit goal.-----Ken Trester
Our 2002 Track Record!
The results from all the Profit Box positions recommended in The Put & Call Tactician for the year 2002 are listed below . This track record is theoretical and assumes that you were able to take profits at the profit goal option price or exit at the stop-loss option price when the stock hit the profit goal or closed below the stop-loss stock price. or were able to get the corresponding option price in the Option Box at the end of the 3-week hold period. These option prices were determine by their implied volatility at the start of the strategy.
. Commissions are not included in these track record results. There is high
risk in option trading. You can lose your whole investment. Our past results
are theoretical no actual positions are taken. No representation is being made
that any account will or is likely to achieve a profit. In fact, there are sharp
differences between hypothetical performance and actual results. We advise all
investors that it should not be assumed that present or future recommendations
will be profitable or equal past performance.
A summary of the results shows that we recommended 149 positions. 47% were profitable(the stock hit profit goal or was positive after the hold period). If you would have purchased one of each of the options, you would have invested $22,756 . Your profit before commissions would have been $2,935 or a 12.8% return for holding the position a maximum of three weeks. Here the annualized return would be a 221% return. As in previous years several positions almost hit their profit goal but eventually were stopped out. Therefore, be aggressive about taking profits on half of your position even if it does not hit the profit goal. Several stocks gapped into the money showing much bigger gains than those reflected in the track record and several stocks moved much further beyond the profit goal. That is why it is important to let half of your position ride when you take profits with a trailing stop, even beyond the 3-week time period. .-----Ken Trester
Our 2003 Track Record!
The results from all the Profit Box short term positions and
Long Term option positions recommended in The Put & Call Tactician for
the year 2003 are listed below . This track record is theoretical and assumes
that you were able to take profits at the profit goal option price or exit
at the stop-loss option price when the stock hit the profit goal or closed
below the stop-loss stock price. or were able to get the corresponding option
price in the Option Box at the end of the 3-week hold period or parameters
of the long term option plays. These option prices were determine by their
implied volatility at the start of the strategy.
. Commissions are not included in these track record results. There is high risk in option trading. You can lose your whole investment. Our past results are theoretical no actual positions are taken. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve a profit. In fact, there are sharp differences between hypothetical performance and actual results. We advise all investors that it should not be assumed that present or future recommendations will be profitable or equal past performance.
Long Term Options
A summary of the results for the long term options shows that we recommended
47 positions(13 are still active and not included in the record but did show
an overall profit at the end of the year). 62.8% were profitable(the stock hit
the profit goal ). If you would have purchased one of each of the options, you
would have invested $7245. Your profit before commissions would have been $5025
or a 69.9% return . This is not an annualized return. That return would be much
higher. Also much bigger profits would have been made if you held part of your
position after the profit goal was hit.
Short Term Options
A summary of the results for our short term option plays shows that we recommended
113 positions. 52.2% were profitable(the stock hit profit goal or was positive
after the hold period). If you would have purchased one of each of the options,
you would have invested $14,370. Your profit before commissions would have been
$3090 or a 21.5% return for holding the position a maximum of three weeks. Here
the annualized return would be at least a 372% return. As in previous years
several positions almost hit their profit goal but eventually were stopped out.
Therefore, be aggressive about taking profits on half of your position even
if it does not hit the profit goal. Several stocks went much further beyond
the profit goal. That is why it is important to let half of your position ride
when you take profits with a trailing stop, even beyond the 3-week time period.
This year we introduced long term options and they generated much better returns
than the short term positions. Such long term options have the big advantage
of needing less trading and less attention.-----Ken Trester
Our 2004 Track Record!
The results from all the (Profit Box) short term positions and Long Term option positions recommended in The Put & Call Tactician for the year 2004 are listed below plus 2003 longer term options closed out in 2004 and not included in the 2003 track record.
This track record is theoretical and assumes that you were able to take profits at the profit goal option price (some options were priced after a gap up or down in the stock price and estimates were made when data was not available) or exit at the stop-loss option price when the stock hit the profit goal or closed below the stop-loss stock price. or were able to get the corresponding option price in the Option Box at the end of the 3-week hold period or parameters of the long term option plays. These option prices were determine by their implied volatility at the start of the strategy.
Commissions are not included in these track record results. There is high risk in option trading. You can lose your whole investment. Our past results are theoretical no actual positions are taken. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve a profit. In fact, there are sharp differences between hypothetical performance and actual results. We advise all investors that it should not be assumed that present or future recommendations will be profitable or equal past performance.
Long Term Options
A summary of the results for the long term options shows that we recommended
44 positions(19 are still active and not included in the record, but 13 are
included from 2003. 46% were profitable(the stock hit the profit goal or closed
with a profit ). If you would have purchased one of each of the options, you
would have invested $7594. Your
profit before commissions would have been $2235 or a 29.4% return . This is
not an annualized return. That return would be much higher. Also bigger profits
would have been likely if you held part of your position after the profit goal
was hit with a trailing stop.
Short Term Options
A summary of the results for our short term option plays shows that we recommended
96 positions. 54% were profitable(the stock hit profit goal or was positive
or even after the hold period). If you would have purchased one of each of the
options, you would have invested $13,135. Your profit before commissions would
have been $3663 or a 27.8% return for holding the position a maximum of three
weeks. Here the annualized return would be at least a 467% return. As in previous
years several positions almost hit their profit goal but eventually were stopped
out. Therefore, be aggressive about taking profits on half of your position
even if it does not hit the profit goal. Several stocks went much further beyond
the profit goal. That is why it is important to let half of your position ride
when you take profits with a trailing stop, even beyond the 3-week time period.
-Ken Trester
Option Profit Boxesâ
Our Option Profit Boxes are option selections, identified and generated by the computer. They provide a detailed 3 week game plan where you exit at least part of your position if the profit goal is reached.( You may want to let part of your position ride with a trailing stop.) Exit your whole position if the stock closes beyond the stop-loss point or after holding the position for three weeks.
To select the best Option Profit Box strategies that are listed, checkout the Rating and the Expected Value. The higher the Rating and Expected Value the better the play.
We advise all readers that it should not be assumed that present or future recommendations will be profitable or equal the performance of previous recommendations. Subscribers should recognize that risk is involved in any option or security investment and they should not assume that any formula, method, chrart, theory or philosophy will result in profitable results or equal past performances. This publication should only be used by sophisticated investors who are fully aware of the risks of options trading.
Our Option Profit Boxes are created by our software- The Push-Button Option Trader, which you can purchase for $195.
** OPENING ACTION ** (for: SMITH INTL (SII) Upside Strategy)
1. Buy SMITH INTL (SII)Apr 42.5-CALL Options at 2.35 (or in entry zone)
2. After entry, place a 'Good Til Canceled' order to sell the options at 4.5.
STOCK (OPTION) Implied Volatility: 35.6%
PRICE PRICE Delta: .466
45.0 4.5 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
44.0 3.9 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
43.1 3.3 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
42.1 2.8 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| Entry | | | | | | | | | | | |
41.2 2.4 --| +---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| Zone | | | | | | | | | | | |
40.3 1.9 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
39.3 1.6 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Trading Days After Recommendation
Prob of Upside Exit: 20% Expected Value: $6.0
Prob of Downside Exit: 45% Rating: 92
** OPENING ACTION ** (for: AMAZON.COM(AMZN) Downside Strategy)
1. Buy AMAZON.COM(AMZN)Apr 40-PUT Options at 1.7 (or in entry zone)
2. After entry, place a 'Good Til Canceled' order to sell the options at 3.4.
STOCK (OPTION) Implied Volatility: 39.6%
PRICE PRICE Delta: .285
46.1 1.2 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
45.0 1.4 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| Entry | | | | | | | | | | | |
43.9 1.7 --| +---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| Zone | | | | | | | | | | | |
42.8 2.0 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
41.7 2.4 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
40.6 2.9 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
40.0 3.4 --+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Trading Days After Recommendation
Prob of Upside Exit: 52% Expected Value: $6.3
Prob of Downside Exit: 19% Rating: 93
** CLOSING ACTION **
After you enter an Option Profit Box®, one of three possibilities can occur.
The daily plot of the underlying common stock can exit the Box at the TOP,
RIGHT SIDE, or BOTTOM. Your action and the end result of the trade is
detailed here:
4. TOP EXIT (for Upside, or BOTTOM EXIT for Downside) - This is the intended
closing action and will trigger the GTC order you placed in #2 above.
5. RIGHT SIDE Exit - The time has expired in the trade. SELL the options.
Be sure to cancel the GTC order entered in #2 above.
6. BOTTOM EXIT (for Upside, or TOP EXIT for Downside) - This requires stop-
loss action on your part. SELL the options at the market price the
following trading day. Be sure to cancel the GTC order you entered
in #2 above.
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 1
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE
-4 D/C/C BA BOEING 66.5 -6 69 15 97 3/*SELL WATCH*
-1 C/C/C GD GENERAL DYNAM 115.1 2 115 118 9 100 2/TRENDING DOWN
1 C/C/C LMT LOCKHEED MARTIN 64.9 4 63 67 11 103 2/QUIET
1 C/C/C NOC NORTHROP 60.3 4 59 62 12 103 2/QUIET
-3 C/C/C UTX UNITED TECHNOLOGIE 55.0 -4 55 12 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
-- AIRLINES
-11 F/F/A AMR AMERICAN AIRLINES 18.8 -14 20 53 96 3/*SELL WATCH*
-6 F/C/F DAL DELTA AIRLINES 0.6 0 1 99 86 3/AMONG WEAKEST
-29 F/F/F JBL JET BLUE(JBLU) 13.2 -39 18 81 72 3/AMONG WEAKEST
-3 D/C/C LUV S W AIRLINES 16.2 -3 17 20 97 3/*SELL WATCH*
------------------------- ALUMINUM
-1 C/D/C AA ALCOA 28.8 1 29 31 25 101 2/QUIET
-- AUTOMOBILE
-1 C/C/B DCX DAIMLER/CHRYSLER 51.4 1 52 56 22 100 2/QUIET
-4 D/C/F F FORD MOTOR 7.9 -4 8 28 94 3/*SELL WATCH*
-2 C/A/F GM GENERAL MOTORS 20.1 -5 19 22 39 92 4/LABORING
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 2
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
----- BANKS
-5 D/C/C BAC BANKAMERICA 44.2 -5 46 10 96 3/GUARDED
-6 F/C/C C CITIGROUP 45.7 -8 49 12 94 3/*SELL WATCH*
-4 D/C/C JPM MORGAN J P 38.1 -4 39 11 97 3/*SELL WATCH*
------------ BEVERAGE
-5 F/C/D BUD ANHEUSER BUSCH 41.3 -7 44 16 95 3/GUARDED
-4 D/C/D KO COCA COLA 40.1 -4 42 10 96 3/RECONFRMD *SELL*
-3 D/C/C PEP PEPSI 57.3 -4 59 7 97 3/GUARDED
--------- BROKERAGE
1 C/C/B BSC BEAR STERNS 119.6 4 115 121 15 104 2/QUIET
-2 C/C/A SCH CHARLES SCHWAB 14.7 0 15 15 27 97 4/LABORING
-1 C/C/C AGE EDWARDS 45.8 2 46 48 20 100 2/QUIET
1 C/C/B MER MERRILL LYNCH 70.8 4 69 13 103 1/QUIET
- BUILDING MATERIALS
-3 C/C/F PPG P P G INDUSTRIES 57.0 -1 59 15 96 3/RECONFRMD *SELL*
------ BROADCASTERS & MEDIA
12 A/A/C VIA VIACOM 42.4 26 37 44 116 1/A POWERHOUSE
-4 D/C/F TRB TRIBUNE CO 30.1 -3 32 24 95 3/RECONFRMD *SELL*
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 3
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
CHEMICALS - GENERAL ++++++++
-1 C/C/C APD AIR PRODUCTS 59.6 1 60 15 99 3/DRIFTING
-7 F/F/D TYC TYCO INTL 26.5 -8 29 27 93 3/A PROBLEM STOCK
-5 F/C/D DOW DOW CHEMICAL 41.9 -4 45 20 94 3/A PROBLEM STOCK
-6 F/C/F DD DUPONT 39.5 -7 42 21 93 3/A PROBLEM STOCK
5 A/C/D GRA GRACE 10.2 7 10 12 62 107 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-4 D/C/F HPC HERCULES 11.1 -4 12 23 95 3/GUARDED
------ CHEMICALS - FERTILIZER
4 A/C/B WMB WILLIAMS CO 25.0 6 23 26 33 108 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
COMMODITIES ++
0 C/C/C CL CRUDE OIL 56.1 0 57 56 18 99 4/IMPROVING
-3 C/C/F HO HEATING OIL 1.6 0 2 33 89 3/A PROBLEM STOCK
-2 C/C/C LC CATTLE 92.5 -4 93 13 100 3/GUARDED
-1 C/C/D CT COTTON 49.6 0 49 50 22 100 4/IMPROVING
-2 C/C/F KC COFFEE 98.1 0 91 98 33 101 4/IMPROVING
1 C/C/A HG COPPER 219.4 2 212 224 22 103 2/QUIET
-1 C/C/C LH LIVE HOGS 63.0 0 63 15 100 3/*SELL WATCH*
-1 C/C/B JO ORANGE JUICE 122.8 0 123 21 100 3/*SELL WATCH*
2 C/C/C GC GOLD 514.2 3 504 528 17 102 2/QUIET
0 C/D/D SM SOYBEAN MEAL 192.5 0 185 194 23 104 2/QUIET
3 C/C/C SI SILVER 886.5 4 855 901 21 104 2/QUIET
0 C/C/D CC COCOA 1465.0 0 1441 1474 26 102 2/QUIET
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 4
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
- COMMODITIES I
-- COMPUTERS - LARGE
-2 C/C/C ORC ORACLE CORP(ORCL) 12.3 0 13 14 22 97 2/TRENDING DOWN
-3 C/C/C EMC EMC CORP 13.2 -3 14 16 95 3/GUARDED
-5 D/D/C HON HONEYWELL 35.8 -6 37 23 97 3/*SELL WATCH*
-3 D/C/C IBM I B M 81.4 -2 86 15 95 3/GUARDED
7 A/B/D NCR N C R 37.4 10 34 38 26 110 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-- COMPUTERS - SMALL & OFFICE EQUIP
10 A/B/C COM 3COM (COMS) 4.5 26 4 35 113 1/A POWERHOUSE
3 C/C/D CSC CISCO SYS(CSCO) 18.5 6 18 20 21 103 2/QUIET
9 A/B/A BRC BROADCOM (BRCM) 56.4 21 50 32 113 1/A POWERHOUSE
-3 C/C/F DEL DELL COMP(DELL) 30.0 -6 31 19 97 3/GUARDED
-8 F/C/D LU LUCENT TECH 2.6 -11 3 26 90 3/AMONG WEAKEST
3 C/C/C SUN SUN MICRO(SUNW) 4.5 5 4 6 27 102 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-4 D/C/C MMM M M M 75.2 -4 78 14 96 3/*SELL WATCH*
3 C/D/C PAL PALM(PALM) 33.2 12 30 36 51 110 2/STRNG BUT TOPNG
2 C/C/D PBI PITNEY BOWES 43.7 6 43 45 12 103 2/QUIET
3 C/C/A AAP APPLE COMP(AAPL) 76.1 7 73 87 37 105 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-2 C/D/C NOK NOKIA CORP 18.1 -3 18 19 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
0 C/C/C CA COMPUTER ASSO INTL 29.0 3 29 16 100 1/QUIET
-3 C/C/C MSF MICROSOFT (MSFT) 26.4 -2 27 15 96 3/RECONFRMD *SELL*
-3 C/C/C XRX XEROX 14.3 -2 15 15 98 3/*SELL WATCH*
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 5
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
CONSTRUCTION - PLANT
-2 C/C/C PCA PACCAR (PCAR) 69.9 0 72 18 97 3/GUARDED
4 C/C/A FLR FLUOR 82.0 9 76 83 28 108 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
1 C/C/C RGS REGIS 40.0 5 40 22 101 1/*BUY WATCH*
9 A/C/A MDR MCDERMOTT 49.3 23 44 51 58 113 2/STRNG BUT TOPNG
COAL +++++
-1 C/C/C HYC HYPERCOM 6.6 4 7 7 32 99 4/LABORING
-- CONGLOMERATES/MULTILINE
-2 C/C/F CD CENDANT 16.5 0 17 18 32 94 4/LABORING
1 C/C/C OLN OLIN CORP 20.0 5 20 21 22 102 2/QUIET
10 A/A/A GLW CORNING GLASS 23.9 19 22 36 111 1/A POWERHOUSE
-3 C/C/F CAG CONAGRA 20.7 1 21 21 23 97 4/LABORING
2 C/C/C HSC HARSCO 70.6 6 68 72 22 104 2/QUIET
-3 D/C/D FLE FLEXTRONICS(FLEX) 10.6 -3 11 43 98 3/*SELL WATCH*
-2 C/C/C TGT TARGET 53.6 2 53 55 20 98 4/LABORING
CURRENCIES
0 C/C/F BP BRITISH POUND 1.8 0 2 18 95 3/DRIFTING
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 6
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
---- DRUGS
-1 C/C/B CVH COVENTRY HEALTH 56.6 2 58 61 30 98 2/TRENDING DOWN
2 C/F/A ELN ELAN CORP 13.7 4 13 17 51 108 2/STRNG BUT TOPNG
11 A/C/D IMM IMMUNOMED(IMMU) 3.0 21 3 4 57 115 2/STRNG BUT TOPNG
-3 C/D/F BMY BRISTOL MEYERS 22.3 -1 22 18 100 3/*SELL WATCH*
0 C/D/D LLY LILLY ELI 56.9 -2 55 59 19 104 2/QUIET
1 C/D/D MRK MERCK 33.3 4 32 35 29 106 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-1 C/C/C NVO NOVO IND 55.4 -1 55 58 19 100 2/TRENDING DOWN
0 C/D/F PFE PFIZER 24.7 2 23 26 38 107 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-4 D/D/C SGP SCHERING PLGH 19.9 -4 20 22 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
0 C/C/C IMC IMCLONE SYS(IMCL) 34.9 5 34 37 29 104 2/QUIET
-1 C/D/B BII BIOGEN (BIIB) 44.9 2 45 48 25 100 2/QUIET
-1 C/C/B CHI CHIRON (CHIR) 44.7 -1 45 46 32 100 2/TRENDING DOWN
ELECTRICAL - MAJOR
1 C/C/C EMR EMERSON ELECTRIC 77.6 3 76 80 16 102 2/QUIET
-6 F/C/D GE GENERAL ELEC 33.4 -7 35 9 94 3/GUARDED
-1 C/C/C HIT HITACHI 69.4 3 69 76 18 100 2/QUIET
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 7
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
---- ELECTRONICS
-6 F/D/B JCI JOHNSON CONTROLS 67.9 -7 72 14 95 3/*SELL WATCH*
2 C/C/A HRS HARRIS CORP 45.5 9 45 48 28 102 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
2 C/C/A SLA SILICON LABS 39.9 9 39 42 42 103 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
0 C/C/C MDT MEDTRONIC 58.8 1 57 16 102 1/QUIET
- ELECTRONICS - INSTRUMENTS
5 A/B/A HPQ HEWLETT PACKRD 31.7 10 30 23 106 1/EXCELLENT BUYING
-1 C/C/B PKI PERKIN ELMER 23.0 -2 23 21 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
2 C/D/B TEK TEKTRONICS 29.9 3 28 31 26 108 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
ELECTRONICS - TELECOMMUNICATION +++
-1 C/C/B EDS ELECT DATA SYS 24.3 4 24 26 17 100 2/QUIET
1 C/C/D DIS ECHOSTAR(DISH) 27.9 4 27 30 23 103 2/QUIET
-3 D/C/D JNP JUNIPER NET(JNPR) 21.6 -2 22 23 24 95 4/LABORING
9 A/A/B JDS JDS UNIPHASE(JDSU) 2.9 17 3 4 53 107 2/STRNG BUT TOPNG
-6 F/D/C NT NORTHERN TELECOM 3.0 -7 3 29 91 3/*SELL WATCH*
5 A/C/C SNE SONY 42.3 14 39 46 26 109 2/STRNG BUT TOPNG
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 8
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
FINANCIAL - NON BANK +
-2 C/C/C AXP AMERICAN EXPRESS 51.4 1 52 54 30 99 2/QUIET
4 A/C/C ACF AMERICREDIT 27.3 8 26 28 22 106 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-2 C/C/C CIN CINCINNATI FIN(CINF) 44.5 -2 45 10 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
5 A/B/D FNM FEDERAL NAT MTGE 53.2 13 50 28 107 1/EXCELLENT BUYING
0 C/C/C HRB BLOCK H R 25.0 4 25 21 100 1/QUIET
2 C/C/C TY TRI CONTINENTAL COR 19.6 6 19 10 103 1/EMERGING
FOOD - PROCESSORS +
6 A/C/B ADM ARCHER DANIELS 27.5 12 25 20 108 1/EXCELLENT BUYING
-10 F/C/F CQB CHIQUITA BRANDS 18.2 -10 21 44 87 3/AMONG WEAKEST
1 C/C/C IAR INTEGRA 37.0 4 36 23 103 1/REESTABL*BUY*
-3 C/C/D HNZ HEINZ 33.6 -3 35 9 97 3/RECONFRMD *SELL*
-3 D/C/C K KELLOGG 43.3 -3 45 12 97 3/GUARDED
-3 C/C/F SLE SARA LEE 18.5 -2 19 12 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
---- FOOD - RESTAURANTS
3 C/C/C MCD MCDONALDS 35.9 6 35 21 104 1/REESTABL*BUY*
-8 F/F/F KKD KRISPY KREME 5.1 -16 6 64 89 3/*SELL WATCH*
-2 C/C/C SBU STARBUCKS(SBUX) 30.3 -2 31 22 97 3/*SELL WATCH*
2 C/C/B WEN WENDYS 56.9 4 53 58 24 107 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 9
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
-- FOREST PRODUCTS & PAPER
-1 C/D/A GP GEORGIA PAC 48.0 1 47 49 54 103 2/QUIET
-3 C/D/D IP INTL PAPER 32.3 -4 33 23 98 3/*SELL WATCH*
-2 C/D/C LPX LOUSIANA PAC 26.9 1 27 25 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
-1 C/C/C WY WEYERHAUSER 66.7 0 66 69 18 101 2/QUIET
--- HOTEL/GAMING
1 C/C/C HET HARRAHS ENT 71.4 6 69 73 25 103 2/QUIET
5 A/C/C HLT HILTON HOTELS 24.7 11 23 26 34 107 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-5 F/C/D SHF SHUFFLE M(SHFL) 24.8 -6 25 26 45 94 4/LABORING
HOSPITAL MANAGEMENT
-3 C/C/D BME BIOMET (BMET) 35.8 -3 37 23 97 3/GUARDED
0 C/C/D BEV BEVERLY ENTERPRISES 12.1 3 12 13 11 101 2/QUIET
6 A/D/A HUM HUMANA 55.2 19 50 58 35 110 2/STRNG BUT TOPNG
HOSPITAL SUPPLY +
-2 C/C/F ABT ABBOTT LABS 40.4 0 39 41 18 100 4/IMPROVING
-3 D/C/D BCR BARD C R 64.0 -5 66 14 97 3/*SELL WATCH*
0 C/C/C BAX BAXTER TRAVENOL 38.7 3 38 39 15 100 4/IMPROVING
-3 C/D/C BDX BECTON DICKENSON 59.0 -1 60 23 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
-2 C/C/D JNJ JOHNSON JOHNSON 60.8 -1 62 15 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 10
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
---- HOUSING/MOBILE HOMES
-2 C/D/B FLE FLEETWOOD ENTR 11.6 -4 12 41 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
4 C/B/C SKY SKYLINE 40.2 13 39 32 104 1/QUIET
INSURANCE +
-4 D/D/B AET AETNA LIFE 89.5 -5 94 27 96 3/GUARDED
-3 D/C/B AZN ASTRAZENECA 47.0 -6 48 23 98 3/*SELL WATCH*
-2 C/C/B AIG AMERICAN INTL GP 66.7 2 68 71 11 98 2/QUIET
-1 C/C/B CI CIGNA 112.0 3 113 118 16 99 2/TRENDING DOWN
----- INTERNET
-4 D/C/C TWX TIME WARNER 17.1 -5 18 14 96 3/GUARDED
4 A/C/C ATM ATMEL CORP(ATML) 3.6 13 3 5 41 106 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-3 C/C/C ARB ARIBA(ARBA) 7.8 -2 8 36 94 3/GUARDED
9 A/B/A BRC BROADCOM (BRCM) 56.4 21 50 32 113 1/A POWERHOUSE
-2 C/C/B EBA EBAY(EBAY) 45.0 1 45 48 26 100 2/QUIET
3 C/C/A FDR FOUNDRY NET(FDRY) 14.5 6 14 16 35 104 2/QUIET
-7 F/F/A AMZ AMAZON.COM(AMZN) 43.9 -10 47 40 93 3/A PROBLEM STOCK
-7 F/D/B HHH INTERNET TRUST 63.4 -7 68 18 94 3/*SELL WATCH*
2 C/C/B QCO QUALCOM(QCOM) 47.0 8 46 32 102 1/EMERGING
-14 F/F/C YHO YAHOO CORP (YHOO) 33.7 -19 40 26 84 3/*SELL WATCH*
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 11
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
---- LEISURE TIME
-3 D/C/C BDK BLACK DECKER 84.2 -2 87 16 97 3/*SELL WATCH*
-1 C/C/D BC BRUNSWICK 40.1 1 41 43 29 99 2/TRENDING DOWN
2 C/C/D DIS DISNEY 25.7 5 25 18 102 1/QUIET
2 C/B/D EK EASTMAN KODAK 24.3 3 24 26 27 102 2/QUIET
-6 F/C/F MAT MATTEL 14.8 -10 16 29 93 3/A PROBLEM STOCK
--- MACHINERY - FARM
-1 C/C/C DE DEERE 68.9 -1 68 72 22 101 2/QUIET
-- THE MARKETS
-1 C/C/C $SP S&P 500 INDEX 1261.5 1 1263 1289 8 100 2/QUIET
-2 C/C/C $IN DOW INDUST 10667.4 -2 10831 8 98 3/*SELL WATCH*
1 C/C/C $MI S&P MIDCAP 400 758.6 4 744 768 11 102 2/QUIET
-1 C/C/C $ND NASDAQ 100 INDEX 1676.4 1 1693 1748 12 99 2/QUIET
-1 C/C/C QQQ NASDAQ 100(QQQQ) 41.3 1 42 44 12 99 2/QUIET
-2 C/C/C $OE S & P 100 INDEX 571.5 -1 578 8 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
-- MACHINERY - INDUSTRIAL
2 C/C/B CAT CATEPILLAR 60.8 8 59 63 30 104 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 12
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
MINING - GOLD +++
10 A/C/A ASA A S A 62.8 19 55 35 114 1/A POWERHOUSE
5 A/C/B ABX AM BARRICK RES 30.0 12 28 32 107 1/EXCELLENT BUYING
MINING - GENERAL +++++
4 C/C/A AMX AMAX 32.1 8 30 34 37 106 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-1 C/C/C ZBR ZEBRA TECH(ZBRA) 44.2 3 45 47 23 99 2/QUIET
15 A/A/C EC ENGELHARD CORP 39.6 33 33 37 121 1/A POWERHOUSE
-7 F/C/F BSX BOSTON SCIENTIFIC 23.6 -8 26 21 91 3/A PROBLEM STOCK
6 A/C/A NEM NEWMONT MINING 56.6 13 51 61 29 111 2/STRNG BUT TOPNG
-4 D/F/A PD PHELPS DODGE 136.5 -3 140 33 98 3/*SELL WATCH*
NATURAL GAS +++
11 A/B/A VLO VALERO 60.3 17 53 47 114 1/A POWERHOUSE
OIL - DOMESTIC +++++++++++++++++++++++++
8 A/B/A AHC AMERADA HESS 145.0 16 130 35 111 1/EXCELLENT BUYING
5 A/C/B APA APACHE CORP 74.1 8 69 31 107 1/EMERGING
6 A/C/F ASH ASHLAND OIL 63.5 14 59 66 23 108 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
9 A/B/B KMG KERR MCGEE 103.2 13 92 29 113 1/EXCELLENT BUYING
1 C/C/C ADB ADOBE SYS(ADBE) 38.4 -1 36 40 27 106 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
8 A/B/C PPP POGO PRODUCING 56.2 14 51 23 110 1/EXCELLENT BUYING
8 A/B/A SUN SUN COMPANY 89.7 15 82 42 110 1/EXCELLENT BUYING
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 13
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
OIL - INTERNATIONAL +++++++++++++
7 A/C/C DYN DYNEGY 5.6 20 5 31 112 1/A POWERHOUSE
-73 F/A/F CPN CALPINE 0.2 0 1 99 25 3/AMONG WEAKEST
2 C/B/C XOM EXXON 60.5 5 59 21 103 1/QUIET
7 A/B/B OXY OCCIDENTAL PET 91.0 12 83 33 110 1/EXCELLENT BUYING
-1 C/C/C RD ROYAL DUTCH 61.1 0 61 10 100 3/DRIFTING
------------------------- OIL SERVICE
13 A/A/A HAL HALIBURTON 75.5 21 65 41 116 1/A POWERHOUSE
12 A/A/A RDC ROWAN COS 43.2 21 38 39 115 1/A POWERHOUSE
15 A/A/A SLB SCHLUMBERGER 122.3 25 102 33 120 1/A POWERHOUSE
PERSONAL CARE/SOAP +++++++++++++++++++++++++
0 C/C/F AVP AVON PRODUCTS 28.7 -2 28 30 38 102 2/QUIET
-5 F/B/C BOL BAUSCH LOMB 71.2 -11 70 78 28 92 4/WEAK BUT LVLING
0 C/C/D CLX CLOROX 58.0 1 56 60 14 103 2/QUIET
-3 D/C/C CL COLGATE 53.7 -4 55 9 98 3/*SELL WATCH*
-17 F/F/F PPC PILGRIMS PRIDE 25.4 -27 31 51 82 3/AMONG WEAKEST
0 C/C/D IFF INTL FLAVORS 33.8 3 34 35 11 101 2/QUIET
-2 C/C/C PG PROCTOR GAMBLE 57.8 -2 58 19 100 3/*SELL WATCH*
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 14
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
--------- RAILROADS
2 C/C/A BNI BURLINGTON NORTH 70.4 6 68 26 104 1/REESTABL*BUY*
2 C/C/B CSX C S X 51.6 6 50 22 104 1/QUIET
0 C/C/A NSC NORFOLK SOUTHERN 44.3 4 44 27 102 1/*BUY WATCH*
4 A/C/C UNP UNION PACIFIC 83.8 9 78 21 108 1/REESTABL*BUY*
RETAILERS +++
-7 F/F/A AMZ AMAZON.COM(AMZN) 43.9 -10 47 40 93 3/A PROBLEM STOCK
6 A/A/A BBY BEST BUY 48.8 12 48 42 103 1/*BUY WATCH*
-1 C/C/C COS COSTCO (COST) 49.7 3 50 52 14 100 2/QUIET
-4 D/C/C HD HOME DEPOT 40.2 -4 42 16 97 3/*SELL WATCH*
2 C/C/A JWN NORDSTROM 39.4 7 38 32 103 1/EMERGING
0 C/C/C JCP PENNY J C 54.8 4 55 58 28 100 2/QUIET
-6 F/C/C WMT WAL-MART STORES 45.0 -9 48 18 94 3/A PROBLEM STOCK
--- SAVING & LOAN
0 C/C/C WFS WASH FED(WFSL) 24.3 3 24 13 100 1/QUIET
0 C/C/C GDW GOLDEN WEST FIN 68.6 3 67 73 17 102 2/QUIET
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 15
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
SEMICONDUCTORS
3 C/C/B AVT AVNET 25.2 8 24 27 24 104 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
1 C/C/C AMA APPLIED MAT(AMAT) 19.1 4 19 21 23 102 2/QUIET
13 A/C/A AMD A M D 35.7 28 30 47 121 1/A POWERHOUSE
-13 F/D/C INT INTEL (INTC) 21.8 -16 26 22 84 3/AMONG WEAKEST
2 C/C/A MSC MICROSEMI 29.1 7 28 32 35 103 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
49 A/A/B RMB RAMBUS(RMBS) 34.0 107 20 90 167 1/A POWERHOUSE
-3 D/C/A MOT MOTOROLA 22.5 1 24 25 30 95 2/TRENDING DOWN
10 A/B/A NVD NVIDIA (NVDA) 43.8 21 38 29 114 1/A POWERHOUSE
2 C/B/C CY CYPRESS SEMICONDUCT 15.6 10 16 51 101 1/QUIET
10 A/A/C QLG QLOGIC (QLGC) 38.0 19 34 27 113 1/A POWERHOUSE
-2 C/C/B TXN TEXAS INSTRMNT 31.7 -1 33 34 97 3/*SELL WATCH*
SERVICE COMPANIES +++++++++++++++++
1 C/C/D XLN XILINX (XLNX) 27.4 5 27 30 48 102 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-2 C/C/C UPS NITED PARCEL SERVICE 75.2 1 75 77 14 98 4/LABORING
-1 C/C/C CSC COMPUTER SCIENCE 50.6 4 52 56 35 98 2/QUIET
-5 D/C/F SYY SYSCO CORP 30.4 -7 32 19 95 3/A PROBLEM STOCK
-2 C/D/C FDX FEDERAL EXPRSS 100.0 1 99 106 20 101 2/QUIET
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 16
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
--- SOFTWARE
-3 C/C/C MSF MICROSOFT (MSFT) 26.4 -2 27 15 96 3/RECONFRMD *SELL*
0 C/C/C CA COMPUTER ASSO INTL 29.0 3 29 16 100 1/QUIET
-1 C/C/C SEB SIEBEL SYSTEMS(SEBL) 10.6 1 11 26 99 3/*SELL WATCH*
4 A/A/C NTA NETWORK APPL(NTAP) 31.1 8 30 24 105 1/EMERGING
3 C/C/B BMC BMC SOFTWARE(BMC) 22.3 10 21 23 105 1/EXCELLENT BUYING
STEEL
6 A/C/C X U S STEEL 50.0 10 46 52 43 108 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
TIRE & RUBBER +++++++++++++++
5 A/B/F CTB COOPER TIRE 16.3 13 15 27 107 1/EXCELLENT BUYING
0 C/C/B GT GOODYEAR TIRE 17.6 3 17 20 31 101 2/QUIET
TEXTILE/APPAREL ++++
-3 D/C/C NKE NIKE 84.2 -4 87 15 97 3/GUARDED
------ TOBACCO
1 C/C/A LTR LOEWS CORP 99.3 4 98 17 102 1/QUIET
-2 C/C/C MO PHILLIP MORRIS 74.8 -3 75 78 18 100 2/TRENDING DOWN
OPTION STOCK SURVEILLANCE: 17
1/20/06 ************ TECHNICAL DATA **************
PWR GRADE SYM SECURITY CUR PCT SUP RES VL % 50 TECHNICAL CODE/
IDX S/I/L BOL PRICE CHG PRT TCE TY DAY &TECHNICAL COMMENT
-- UTILITIES - COMMUNICATION
2 C/C/B T AMERICAN TEL TEL 24.7 -1 24 26 37 105 2/BACKNG AND FLLNG
-4 D/C/C BLS BELL SOUTH 26.6 -5 28 13 96 3/GUARDED
3 C/C/A Q QWEST 5.9 2 6 7 35 105 2/QUIET
-2 C/C/D VZ VERIZON 30.9 2 32 33 20 98 2/TRENDING DOWN
- UTILITIES - ELECTRIC
-1 C/C/C SO SOUTHERN COMPANY 35.1 -1 35 36 12 100 2/TRENDING DOWN
-1 C/C/C D DOMINION RES 78.6 -3 78 82 22 101 2/TRENDING DOWN
Disclaimer: The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but there is no guarantee it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon.
The output is based on mathematical calculations and should not be used as a sole means of making investment decisions.
POWER OPTION PLAYSThe options listed below are computer selected, based on the price action of the underlying stock. Avoid paying more than the option price listed, for that price is the fair, theorectical value for the option. If an option is not available at the expiration month listed, go to the next month. For example, if the recommended option is the IBM September 100 call, but a September option is not traded, select the October 100 call.
To get option quotes, we suggest going to www.cboe.com and clicking on Market Quotes or www.bigcharts.com and clicking on "option chain".
We suggest holding each option position a maximum of 3 weeks and our option analysis is based on that hold period. But if you can get a low priced option you may wish to hold it for a longer period.
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Buy BOEING (BA) Mar 65 Put options at 0.9 or lower (Stock Price = 66.5). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 63.8 (option price = 2.1). Exit if the stock price closes above 67.8 (option price = 0.5).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 10%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 36%
Historical Volatility 15%: Delta .336: : Rating 89: Expected Val $-2.40
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Buy AMERICAN AIRLINES (AMR) Mar 17.5 Put options at 0.9 or lower (Stock Price = 18.8). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 16.5 (option price = 1.9). Exit if the stock price closes above 19.9 (option price = 0.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 51%
Historical Volatility 53%: Delta .324: : Rating 112: Expected Val $7.70
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Buy JET BLUE(JBLU) (JBL) Mar 12.5 Put options at 1.3 or lower (Stock Price = 13.2). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 11.1 (option price = 2.3). Exit if the stock price closes above 14.3 (option price = 1.0).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 32%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 58%
Historical Volatility 81%: Delta .371: : Rating 110: Expected Val $14.60
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Buy S W AIRLINES (LUV) Mar 15 Put options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 16.2). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 15.4 (option price = 0.3). Exit if the stock price closes above 16.6 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 14%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 42%
Historical Volatility 20%: Delta .149: : Rating 185: Expected Val $2.80
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Buy FORD MOTOR (F) Mar 7.5 Put options at 0.2 or lower (Stock Price = 7.9). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 7.3 (option price = 0.4). Exit if the stock price closes above 8.2 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 21%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 50%
Historical Volatility 28%: Delta .311: : Rating 80: Expected Val $-0.80
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Buy CITIGROUP (C) Mar 45 Put options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 45.7). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 44.4 (option price = 1.1). Exit if the stock price closes above 46.3 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 11%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 43%
Historical Volatility 12%: Delta .354: : Rating 84: Expected Val $-2.00
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Buy ANHEUSER BUSCH (BUD) Mar 40 Put options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 41.3). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 39.6 (option price = 1.2). Exit if the stock price closes above 42.1 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 12%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 43%
Historical Volatility 16%: Delta .294: : Rating 95: Expected Val $-0.20
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Buy COCA COLA (KO) Mar 40 Put options at 0.6 or lower (Stock Price = 40.1). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 39.6 (option price = 0.8). Exit if the stock price closes above 40.3 (option price = 0.5).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 39%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 55%
Historical Volatility 10%: Delta .467: : Rating 107: Expected Val $2.30
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Buy P P G INDUSTRIES (PPG) Mar 55 Put options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 57.0). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 55.4 (option price = 1.0). Exit if the stock price closes above 57.8 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 57%
Historical Volatility 15%: Delta .251: : Rating 93: Expected Val $0.10
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Buy TRIBUNE CO (TRB) Mar 30 Put options at 1.1 or lower (Stock Price = 30.1). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 28.5 (option price = 2.0). Exit if the stock price closes above 30.9 (option price = 0.8).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 22%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 52%
Historical Volatility 24%: Delta .467: : Rating 101: Expected Val $4.20
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Buy AIR PRODUCTS (APD) Mar 55 Put options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 59.6). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 57.9 (option price = 0.3). Exit if the stock price closes above 60.4 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 24%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 54%
Historical Volatility 15%: Delta .068: : Rating 245: Expected Val $4.80
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Buy TYCO INTL (TYC) Mar 25 Put options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 26.5). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 24.6 (option price = 1.3). Exit if the stock price closes above 27.5 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 16%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 45%
Historical Volatility 27%: Delta .273: : Rating 119: Expected Val $3.80
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Buy DOW CHEMICAL (DOW) Mar 40 Put options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 41.9). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 40.2 (option price = 1.1). Exit if the stock price closes above 42.7 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 50%
Historical Volatility 20%: Delta .254: : Rating 118: Expected Val $3.80
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Buy DUPONT (DD) Mar 35 Put options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 39.5). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 37.4 (option price = 0.4). Exit if the stock price closes above 40.5 (option price = 0.0).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 17%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 44%
Historical Volatility 21%: Delta .067: : Rating 130: Expected Val $0.70
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Buy HERCULES (HPC) Mar 10 Put options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 11.1). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 10.3 (option price = 0.3). Exit if the stock price closes above 11.5 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 17%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 44%
Historical Volatility 23%: Delta .152: : Rating 202: Expected Val $3.40
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Buy CATTLE (LC) Mar 90 Put options at 0.9 or lower (Stock Price = 92.5). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 89.9 (option price = 1.9). Exit if the stock price closes above 93.8 (option price = 0.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 51%
Historical Volatility 13%: Delta .289: : Rating 120: Expected Val $7.70
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Buy LIVE HOGS (LH) Mar 60 Put options at 0.4 or lower (Stock Price = 63.0). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 60.5 (option price = 1.2). Exit if the stock price closes above 64.3 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 10%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 38%
Historical Volatility 15%: Delta .192: : Rating 105: Expected Val $0.40
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Buy ORANGE JUICE (JO) Mar 120 Put options at 2.7 or lower (Stock Price = 122.8). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 116.4 (option price = 5.9). Exit if the stock price closes above 126.0 (option price = 1.7).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 15%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 43%
Historical Volatility 21%: Delta .372: : Rating 92: Expected Val $5.00
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Buy EMC CORP (EMC) Mar 12.5 Put options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 13.2). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 12.7 (option price = 0.3). Exit if the stock price closes above 13.5 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 14%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 43%
Historical Volatility 16%: Delta .197: : Rating 186: Expected Val $2.80
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Buy HONEYWELL (HON) Mar 35 Put options at 0.9 or lower (Stock Price = 35.8). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 33.9 (option price = 1.8). Exit if the stock price closes above 36.7 (option price = 0.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 21%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 49%
Historical Volatility 23%: Delta .382: : Rating 106: Expected Val $4.20
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Buy I B M (IBM) Mar 80 Put options at 1.3 or lower (Stock Price = 81.4). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 78.1 (option price = 2.9). Exit if the stock price closes above 83.0 (option price = 0.8).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 11%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 40%
Historical Volatility 15%: Delta .374: : Rating 88: Expected Val $-2.40
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Buy LUCENT TECH (LU) Mar 2.5 Put options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 2.6). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 2.4 (option price = 0.2). Exit if the stock price closes above 2.7 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 19%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 49%
Historical Volatility 26%: Delta .365: : Rating 148: Expected Val $1.90
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Buy M M M (MMM) Mar 75 Put options at 1.5 or lower (Stock Price = 75.2). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 73.1 (option price = 2.7). Exit if the stock price closes above 76.3 (option price = 1.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 22%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 55%
Historical Volatility 14%: Delta .469: : Rating 98: Expected Val $4.40
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Buy NOKIA CORP (NOK) Mar 17.5 Put options at 0.3 or lower (Stock Price = 18.1). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 17.2 (option price = 0.7). Exit if the stock price closes above 18.6 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 14%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 40%
Historical Volatility 19%: Delta .317: : Rating 114: Expected Val $1.60
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Buy MICROSOFT (MSFT) (MSF) Mar 25 Put options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 26.4). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 25.7 (option price = 0.3). Exit if the stock price closes above 26.8 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 21%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 53%
Historical Volatility 15%: Delta .140: : Rating 227: Expected Val $4.20
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Buy PACCAR (PCAR) (PCA) Mar 65 Put options at 0.4 or lower (Stock Price = 69.9). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 67.1 (option price = 1.0). Exit if the stock price closes above 71.3 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 22%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 47%
Historical Volatility 18%: Delta .148: : Rating 126: Expected Val $3.80
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Buy FLEXTRONICS(FLEX) (FLE) Mar 10 Put options at 0.4 or lower (Stock Price = 10.6). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 9.5 (option price = 0.9). Exit if the stock price closes above 11.1 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 20%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 52%
Historical Volatility 43%: Delta .329: : Rating 126: Expected Val $4.80
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Buy JOHNSON CONTROLS (JCI) Mar 65 Put options at 0.4 or lower (Stock Price = 67.9). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 66.0 (option price = 0.9). Exit if the stock price closes above 68.9 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 24%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 52%
Historical Volatility 14%: Delta .195: : Rating 108: Expected Val $1.60
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Buy PERKIN ELMER (PKI) Mar 22.5 Put options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 23.0). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 21.8 (option price = 1.1). Exit if the stock price closes above 23.6 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 15%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 43%
Historical Volatility 21%: Delta .375: : Rating 98: Expected Val $0.40
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Buy CHIQUITA BRANDS (CQB) Mar 17.5 Put options at 0.9 or lower (Stock Price = 18.2). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 16.2 (option price = 1.9). Exit if the stock price closes above 19.2 (option price = 0.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 18%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 54%
Historical Volatility 44%: Delta .377: : Rating 91: Expected Val $1.80
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Buy KRISPY KREME (KKD) Mar 5 Put options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 5.1). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 4.3 (option price = 0.9). Exit if the stock price closes above 5.5 (option price = 0.4).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 57%
Historical Volatility 64%: Delta .417: : Rating 101: Expected Val $3.50
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Buy STARBUCKS(SBUX) (SBU) Mar 30 Put options at 0.9 or lower (Stock Price = 30.3). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 28.7 (option price = 1.8). Exit if the stock price closes above 31.1 (option price = 0.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 17%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 47%
Historical Volatility 22%: Delta .437: : Rating 96: Expected Val $1.20
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Buy INTL PAPER (IP) Mar 30 Put options at 0.3 or lower (Stock Price = 32.3). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 30.6 (option price = 0.8). Exit if the stock price closes above 33.1 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 18%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 48%
Historical Volatility 23%: Delta .186: : Rating 139: Expected Val $4.20
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Buy LOUSIANA PAC (LPX) Mar 25 Put options at 0.3 or lower (Stock Price = 26.9). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 25.5 (option price = 0.7). Exit if the stock price closes above 27.6 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 22%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 51%
Historical Volatility 25%: Delta .203: : Rating 132: Expected Val $3.70
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Buy BIOMET (BMET) (BME) Mar 35 Put options at 0.9 or lower (Stock Price = 35.8). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 33.9 (option price = 1.8). Exit if the stock price closes above 36.7 (option price = 0.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 21%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 49%
Historical Volatility 23%: Delta .382: : Rating 106: Expected Val $4.20
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Buy BARD C R (BCR) Mar 60 Put options at 0.2 or lower (Stock Price = 64.0). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 62.2 (option price = 0.5). Exit if the stock price closes above 64.9 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 55%
Historical Volatility 14%: Delta .114: : Rating 118: Expected Val $1.40
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Buy BECTON DICKENSON (BDX) Mar 55 Put options at 0.6 or lower (Stock Price = 59.0). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 55.9 (option price = 1.5). Exit if the stock price closes above 60.5 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 20%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 50%
Historical Volatility 23%: Delta .197: : Rating 110: Expected Val $3.00
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Buy JOHNSON JOHNSON (JNJ) Mar 60 Put options at 1.1 or lower (Stock Price = 60.8). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 58.4 (option price = 2.4). Exit if the stock price closes above 62.0 (option price = 0.7).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 13%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 41%
Historical Volatility 15%: Delta .401: : Rating 96: Expected Val $0.50
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Buy FLEETWOOD ENTR (FLE) Mar 10 Put options at 0.2 or lower (Stock Price = 11.6). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 10.3 (option price = 0.5). Exit if the stock price closes above 12.2 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 22%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 52%
Historical Volatility 41%: Delta .173: : Rating 112: Expected Val $1.40
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Buy AETNA LIFE (AET) Mar 85 Put options at 1.9 or lower (Stock Price = 89.5). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 83.1 (option price = 4.6). Exit if the stock price closes above 92.7 (option price = 1.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 17%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 45%
Historical Volatility 27%: Delta .295: : Rating 105: Expected Val $9.90
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Buy ASTRAZENECA (AZN) Mar 45 Put options at 0.8 or lower (Stock Price = 47.0). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 44.6 (option price = 1.8). Exit if the stock price closes above 48.2 (option price = 0.5).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 19%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 51%
Historical Volatility 23%: Delta .293: : Rating 106: Expected Val $3.70
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Buy ARIBA(ARBA) (ARB) Mar 7.5 Put options at 0.3 or lower (Stock Price = 7.8). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 7.1 (option price = 0.7). Exit if the stock price closes above 8.2 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 19%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 49%
Historical Volatility 36%: Delta .365: : Rating 120: Expected Val $2.70
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Buy AMAZON.COM(AMZN) (AMZ) Mar 40 Put options at 1.1 or lower (Stock Price = 43.9). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 39.5 (option price = 2.7). Exit if the stock price closes above 46.1 (option price = 0.7).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 20%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 50%
Historical Volatility 40%: Delta .250: : Rating 122: Expected Val $12.00
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Buy INTERNET TRUST (HHH) Mar 60 Put options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 63.4). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 60.9 (option price = 1.2). Exit if the stock price closes above 64.7 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 16%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 48%
Historical Volatility 18%: Delta .200: : Rating 104: Expected Val $1.60
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Buy YAHOO CORP (YHOO) (YHO) Mar 30 Put options at 0.2 or lower (Stock Price = 33.7). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 31.3 (option price = 0.7). Exit if the stock price closes above 34.9 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 12%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 44%
Historical Volatility 26%: Delta .115: : Rating 126: Expected Val $1.60
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Buy BLACK DECKER (BDK) Mar 80 Put options at 0.6 or lower (Stock Price = 84.2). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 80.8 (option price = 1.6). Exit if the stock price closes above 85.9 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 14%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 43%
Historical Volatility 16%: Delta .196: : Rating 103: Expected Val $1.10
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Buy DOW INDUST ($IN) Mar 665 Put options at 7.2 or lower (Stock Price = 667.4). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 659.4 (option price = 11.4). Exit if the stock price closes above 671.4 (option price = 5.5).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 18%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 43%
Historical Volatility 8%: Delta .448: : Rating 69: Expected Val $2.50
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Buy S & P 100 INDEX ($OE) Mar 570 Put options at 6.2 or lower (Stock Price = 571.5). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 564.6 (option price = 9.9). Exit if the stock price closes above 574.9 (option price = 4.8).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 18%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 41%
Historical Volatility 8%: Delta .460: : Rating 76: Expected Val $9.20
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Buy BOSTON SCIENTIFIC (BSX) Mar 22.5 Put options at 0.3 or lower (Stock Price = 23.6). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 22.4 (option price = 0.8). Exit if the stock price closes above 24.2 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 14%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 40%
Historical Volatility 21%: Delta .258: : Rating 130: Expected Val $3.00
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Buy PHELPS DODGE (PD) Mar 135 Put options at 6.3 or lower (Stock Price = 136.5). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 123.9 (option price = 13.6). Exit if the stock price closes above 142.8 (option price = 4.0).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 14%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 46%
Historical Volatility 33%: Delta .440: : Rating 67: Expected Val $-3.60
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Buy CALPINE (CPN) Mar 0.5 Put options at 0.3 or lower (Stock Price = 0.2). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 0.2 (option price = 0.3). Exit if the stock price closes above 0.2 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 0%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 100%
Historical Volatility 99%: Delta 1.000: : Rating 67: Expected Val $0.00
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Buy ROYAL DUTCH (RD) Mar 60 Put options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 61.1). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 60.4 (option price = 0.8). Exit if the stock price closes above 61.5 (option price = 0.4).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 36%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 55%
Historical Volatility 10%: Delta .314: : Rating 127: Expected Val $5.30
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Buy PILGRIMS PRIDE (PPC) Mar 25 Put options at 1.8 or lower (Stock Price = 25.4). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 22.4 (option price = 3.5). Exit if the stock price closes above 26.9 (option price = 1.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 20%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 55%
Historical Volatility 51%: Delta .429: : Rating 81: Expected Val $1.00
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Buy PROCTOR GAMBLE (PG) Mar 55 Put options at 0.6 or lower (Stock Price = 57.8). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 55.5 (option price = 1.4). Exit if the stock price closes above 59.0 (option price = 0.4).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 22%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 52%
Historical Volatility 19%: Delta .234: : Rating 131: Expected Val $7.20
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Buy AMAZON.COM(AMZN) (AMZ) Mar 40 Put options at 1.1 or lower (Stock Price = 43.9). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 39.5 (option price = 2.7). Exit if the stock price closes above 46.1 (option price = 0.7).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 18%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 52%
Historical Volatility 40%: Delta .250: : Rating 109: Expected Val $8.00
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Buy HOME DEPOT (HD) Mar 40 Put options at 0.9 or lower (Stock Price = 40.2). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 38.6 (option price = 1.8). Exit if the stock price closes above 41.0 (option price = 0.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 10%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 41%
Historical Volatility 16%: Delta .456: : Rating 82: Expected Val $-3.30
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Buy WAL-MART STORES (WMT) Mar 40 Put options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 45.0). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 42.7 (option price = 0.4). Exit if the stock price closes above 46.2 (option price = 0.0).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 14%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 42%
Historical Volatility 18%: Delta .061: : Rating 108: Expected Val $0.00
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Buy INTEL (INTC) (INT) Mar 20 Put options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 21.8). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 20.9 (option price = 0.3). Exit if the stock price closes above 22.2 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 49%
Historical Volatility 22%: Delta .118: : Rating 240: Expected Val $4.60
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Buy TEXAS INSTRMNT (TXN) Mar 30 Put options at 0.9 or lower (Stock Price = 31.7). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 28.8 (option price = 2.2). Exit if the stock price closes above 33.2 (option price = 0.5).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 14%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 45%
Historical Volatility 34%: Delta .314: : Rating 92: Expected Val $0.20
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Buy SYSCO CORP (SYY) Mar 30 Put options at 0.7 or lower (Stock Price = 30.4). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 29.2 (option price = 1.3). Exit if the stock price closes above 31.0 (option price = 0.5).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 24%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 50%
Historical Volatility 19%: Delta .414: : Rating 112: Expected Val $4.40
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Buy MICROSOFT (MSFT) (MSF) Mar 25 Put options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 26.4). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 25.7 (option price = 0.3). Exit if the stock price closes above 26.8 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 52%
Historical Volatility 15%: Delta .140: : Rating 240: Expected Val $4.60
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Buy SIEBEL SYSTEMS(SEB (SEB) Mar 10 Put options at 0.2 or lower (Stock Price = 10.6). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 9.8 (option price = 0.5). Exit if the stock price closes above 11.0 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 16%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 45%
Historical Volatility 26%: Delta .273: : Rating 101: Expected Val $0.30
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Buy NIKE (NKE) Mar 80 Put options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 84.2). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 80.8 (option price = 1.5). Exit if the stock price closes above 85.9 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 12%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 40%
Historical Volatility 15%: Delta .181: : Rating 125: Expected Val $4.00
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Buy BELL SOUTH (BLS) Mar 25 Put options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 26.6). After entry, take profits if the stock price hits 25.9 (option price = 0.2). Exit if the stock price closes above 27.0 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 25%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 56%
Historical Volatility 13%: Delta .130: : Rating 168: Expected Val $2.50
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Buy MERRILL LYNCH (MER) Mar 75 Call options at 0.2 or lower (Stock Price = 70.8). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 72.8 (option price = 0.6). Exit if the stock price closes below 69.8 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 17%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 44%
Historical Volatility 13%: Delta .119: : Rating 139: Expected Val $2.40
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Buy VIACOM (VIA) Mar 45 Call options at 1.9 or lower (Stock Price = 42.4). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 47.0 (option price = 4.3). Exit if the stock price closes below 40.1 (option price = 1.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 51%
Historical Volatility 44%: Delta .399: : Rating 108: Expected Val $14.40
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Buy 3COM (COMS) (COM) Mar 5 Call options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 4.5). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 5.0 (option price = 0.3). Exit if the stock price closes below 4.3 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 21%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 46%
Historical Volatility 35%: Delta .265: : Rating 226: Expected Val $4.20
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Buy BROADCOM (BRCM) (BRC) Mar 60 Call options at 1.5 or lower (Stock Price = 56.4). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 61.6 (option price = 4.0). Exit if the stock price closes below 53.8 (option price = 0.8).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 16%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 41%
Historical Volatility 32%: Delta .337: : Rating 116: Expected Val $11.30
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Buy COMPUTER ASSO INTL (CA) Mar 30 Call options at 0.3 or lower (Stock Price = 29.0). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 30.2 (option price = 0.8). Exit if the stock price closes below 28.4 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 14%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 41%
Historical Volatility 16%: Delta .289: : Rating 130: Expected Val $2.90
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Buy REGIS (RGS) Mar 45 Call options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 40.0). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 42.1 (option price = 0.4). Exit if the stock price closes below 39.0 (option price = 0.0).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 18%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 39%
Historical Volatility 22%: Delta .072: : Rating 156: Expected Val $1.50
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Buy CORNING GLASS (GLW) Mar 25 Call options at 0.9 or lower (Stock Price = 23.9). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 26.1 (option price = 2.1). Exit if the stock price closes below 22.8 (option price = 0.5).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 21%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 46%
Historical Volatility 36%: Delta .403: : Rating 115: Expected Val $6.80
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Buy MEDTRONIC (MDT) Mar 60 Call options at 1.0 or lower (Stock Price = 58.8). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 61.2 (option price = 2.2). Exit if the stock price closes below 57.6 (option price = 0.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 16%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 43%
Historical Volatility 16%: Delta .390: : Rating 101: Expected Val $2.00
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Buy HEWLETT PACKRD (HPQ) Mar 35 Call options at 0.2 or lower (Stock Price = 31.7). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 33.3 (option price = 0.6). Exit if the stock price closes below 30.9 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 22%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 46%
Historical Volatility 23%: Delta .141: : Rating 165: Expected Val $4.20
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Buy FEDERAL NAT MTGE (FNM) Mar 55 Call options at 1.6 or lower (Stock Price = 53.2). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 57.0 (option price = 3.6). Exit if the stock price closes below 51.3 (option price = 0.9).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 18%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 43%
Historical Volatility 28%: Delta .403: : Rating 102: Expected Val $5.90
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Buy TRI CONTINENTAL CO (TY) Mar 20 Call options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 19.6). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 19.8 (option price = 0.2). Exit if the stock price closes below 19.5 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 24%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 35%
Historical Volatility 10%: Delta .265: : Rating 175: Expected Val $2.40
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Buy ARCHER DANIELS (ADM) Mar 30 Call options at 0.2 or lower (Stock Price = 27.5). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 28.9 (option price = 0.6). Exit if the stock price closes below 26.8 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 24%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 40%
Historical Volatility 20%: Delta .164: : Rating 189: Expected Val $5.60
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Buy INTEGRA (IAR) Mar 40 Call options at 0.4 or lower (Stock Price = 37.0). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 38.9 (option price = 1.0). Exit if the stock price closes below 36.0 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 25%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 47%
Historical Volatility 23%: Delta .213: : Rating 140: Expected Val $5.60
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Buy MCDONALDS (MCD) Mar 40 Call options at 0.1 or lower (Stock Price = 35.9). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 37.3 (option price = 0.3). Exit if the stock price closes below 35.2 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 26%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 52%
Historical Volatility 21%: Delta .081: : Rating 258: Expected Val $5.20
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Buy SKYLINE (SKY) Mar 45 Call options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 40.2). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 43.1 (option price = 1.3). Exit if the stock price closes below 38.8 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 26%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 47%
Historical Volatility 32%: Delta .196: : Rating 165: Expected Val $11.40
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Buy BROADCOM (BRCM) (BRC) Mar 60 Call options at 1.5 or lower (Stock Price = 56.4). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 61.6 (option price = 4.0). Exit if the stock price closes below 53.8 (option price = 0.8).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 16%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 41%
Historical Volatility 32%: Delta .337: : Rating 116: Expected Val $11.30
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Buy QUALCOM(QCOM) (QCO) Mar 50 Call options at 1.2 or lower (Stock Price = 47.0). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 50.4 (option price = 2.7). Exit if the stock price closes below 45.3 (option price = 0.7).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 25%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 49%
Historical Volatility 32%: Delta .333: : Rating 124: Expected Val $13.00
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Buy A S A (ASA) Mar 65 Call options at 2.5 or lower (Stock Price = 62.8). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 68.6 (option price = 5.7). Exit if the stock price closes below 59.9 (option price = 1.5).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 20%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 43%
Historical Volatility 35%: Delta .428: : Rating 112: Expected Val $21.00
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Buy AM BARRICK RES (ABX) Mar 35 Call options at 0.2 or lower (Stock Price = 30.0). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 32.2 (option price = 0.6). Exit if the stock price closes below 28.9 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 26%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 49%
Historical Volatility 32%: Delta .117: : Rating 182: Expected Val $5.50
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Buy ENGELHARD CORP (EC) Mar 40 Call options at 2.1 or lower (Stock Price = 39.6). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 43.6 (option price = 4.6). Exit if the stock price closes below 37.6 (option price = 1.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 21%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 44%
Historical Volatility 37%: Delta .501: : Rating 107: Expected Val $12.90
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Buy VALERO (VLO) Mar 65 Call options at 2.6 or lower (Stock Price = 60.3). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 66.8 (option price = 5.8). Exit if the stock price closes below 57.0 (option price = 1.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 25%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 52%
Historical Volatility 47%: Delta .375: : Rating 114: Expected Val $28.00
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Buy AMERADA HESS (AHC) Mar 150 Call options at 5.8 or lower (Stock Price = 145.0). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 158.3 (option price = 13.2). Exit if the stock price closes below 138.3 (option price = 3.4).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 21%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 44%
Historical Volatility 35%: Delta .429: : Rating 100: Expected Val $49.80
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Buy APACHE CORP (APA) Mar 75 Call options at 3.2 or lower (Stock Price = 74.1). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 79.4 (option price = 6.4). Exit if the stock price closes below 71.4 (option price = 2.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 25%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 49%
Historical Volatility 31%: Delta .485: : Rating 108: Expected Val $26.10
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Buy KERR MCGEE (KMG) Mar 105 Call options at 3.9 or lower (Stock Price = 103.2). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 110.6 (option price = 8.2). Exit if the stock price closes below 99.5 (option price = 2.4).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 21%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 44%
Historical Volatility 29%: Delta .462: : Rating 100: Expected Val $24.30
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Buy POGO PRODUCING (PPP) Mar 60 Call options at 0.7 or lower (Stock Price = 56.2). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 59.1 (option price = 1.7). Exit if the stock price closes below 54.7 (option price = 0.4).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 45%
Historical Volatility 23%: Delta .244: : Rating 137: Expected Val $9.50
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Buy SUN COMPANY (SUN) Mar 90 Call options at 5.7 or lower (Stock Price = 89.7). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 98.7 (option price = 11.4). Exit if the stock price closes below 85.2 (option price = 3.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 48%
Historical Volatility 42%: Delta .525: : Rating 87: Expected Val $30.30
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Buy EXXON (XOM) Mar 65 Call options at 0.5 or lower (Stock Price = 60.5). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 63.6 (option price = 1.4). Exit if the stock price closes below 58.9 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 16%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 42%
Historical Volatility 21%: Delta .193: : Rating 135: Expected Val $6.00
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Buy OCCIDENTAL PET (OXY) Mar 95 Call options at 3.1 or lower (Stock Price = 91.0). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 99.4 (option price = 7.6). Exit if the stock price closes below 86.8 (option price = 1.7).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 18%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 41%
Historical Volatility 33%: Delta .396: : Rating 109: Expected Val $23.60
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Buy HALIBURTON (HAL) Mar 80 Call options at 3.0 or lower (Stock Price = 75.5). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 83.1 (option price = 6.8). Exit if the stock price closes below 71.7 (option price = 1.7).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 21%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 48%
Historical Volatility 41%: Delta .386: : Rating 100: Expected Val $17.40
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Buy ROWAN COS (RDC) Mar 45 Call options at 1.9 or lower (Stock Price = 43.2). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 47.5 (option price = 4.3). Exit if the stock price closes below 41.0 (option price = 1.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 24%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 45%
Historical Volatility 39%: Delta .426: : Rating 123: Expected Val $21.60
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Buy SCHLUMBERGER (SLB) Mar 125 Call options at 5.1 or lower (Stock Price = 122.3). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 133.6 (option price = 11.8). Exit if the stock price closes below 116.7 (option price = 2.9).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 16%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 41%
Historical Volatility 33%: Delta .458: : Rating 87: Expected Val $17.00
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Buy BURLINGTON NORTH (BNI) Mar 75 Call options at 1.2 or lower (Stock Price = 70.4). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 75.5 (option price = 3.3). Exit if the stock price closes below 67.9 (option price = 0.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 15%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 38%
Historical Volatility 26%: Delta .282: : Rating 118: Expected Val $8.70
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Buy C S X (CSX) Mar 55 Call options at 0.6 or lower (Stock Price = 51.6). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 54.3 (option price = 1.5). Exit if the stock price closes below 50.3 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 42%
Historical Volatility 22%: Delta .241: : Rating 139: Expected Val $8.10
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Buy NORFOLK SOUTHERN (NSC) Mar 45 Call options at 1.6 or lower (Stock Price = 44.3). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 47.5 (option price = 3.5). Exit if the stock price closes below 42.7 (option price = 1.0).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 19%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 42%
Historical Volatility 27%: Delta .464: : Rating 112: Expected Val $10.90
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Buy UNION PACIFIC (UNP) Mar 85 Call options at 2.2 or lower (Stock Price = 83.8). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 88.2 (option price = 4.7). Exit if the stock price closes below 81.6 (option price = 1.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 18%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 41%
Historical Volatility 21%: Delta .447: : Rating 102: Expected Val $8.10
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Buy BEST BUY (BBY) Mar 50 Call options at 2.7 or lower (Stock Price = 48.8). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 53.7 (option price = 5.6). Exit if the stock price closes below 46.4 (option price = 1.7).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 25%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 48%
Historical Volatility 42%: Delta .475: : Rating 111: Expected Val $24.50
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Buy NORDSTROM (JWN) Mar 40 Call options at 1.7 or lower (Stock Price = 39.4). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 42.2 (option price = 3.4). Exit if the stock price closes below 38.0 (option price = 1.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 26%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 49%
Historical Volatility 32%: Delta .477: : Rating 115: Expected Val $14.80
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Buy WASH FED(WFSL) (WFS) Mar 25 Call options at 0.2 or lower (Stock Price = 24.3). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 25.0 (option price = 0.5). Exit if the stock price closes below 24.0 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 13%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 44%
Historical Volatility 13%: Delta .281: : Rating 92: Expected Val $-0.50
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Buy A M D (AMD) Mar 40 Call options at 1.1 or lower (Stock Price = 35.7). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 39.6 (option price = 2.7). Exit if the stock price closes below 33.8 (option price = 0.6).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 26%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 51%
Historical Volatility 47%: Delta .296: : Rating 134: Expected Val $16.10
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Buy RAMBUS(RMBS) (RMB) Mar 35 Call options at 4.3 or lower (Stock Price = 34.0). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 39.4 (option price = 7.7). Exit if the stock price closes below 31.3 (option price = 3.0).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 42%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 57%
Historical Volatility 90%: Delta .537: : Rating 116: Expected Val $68.70
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Buy NVIDIA (NVDA) (NVD) Mar 45 Call options at 1.5 or lower (Stock Price = 43.8). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 47.0 (option price = 3.2). Exit if the stock price closes below 42.2 (option price = 0.9).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 20%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 47%
Historical Volatility 29%: Delta .430: : Rating 101: Expected Val $5.80
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Buy CYPRESS SEMICONDUC (CY) Mar 17.5 Call options at 0.6 or lower (Stock Price = 15.6). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 17.5 (option price = 1.4). Exit if the stock price closes below 14.7 (option price = 0.3).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 27%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 50%
Historical Volatility 51%: Delta .323: : Rating 123: Expected Val $6.60
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Buy QLOGIC (QLGC) (QLG) Mar 40 Call options at 0.8 or lower (Stock Price = 38.0). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 40.7 (option price = 2.0). Exit if the stock price closes below 36.6 (option price = 0.4).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 18%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 38%
Historical Volatility 27%: Delta .327: : Rating 122: Expected Val $6.40
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Buy COMPUTER ASSO INTL (CA) Mar 30 Call options at 0.3 or lower (Stock Price = 29.0). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 30.2 (option price = 0.8). Exit if the stock price closes below 28.4 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 15%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 38%
Historical Volatility 16%: Delta .289: : Rating 139: Expected Val $3.70
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Buy NETWORK APPL(NTAP) (NTA) Mar 35 Call options at 0.2 or lower (Stock Price = 31.1). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 33.3 (option price = 0.7). Exit if the stock price closes below 30.0 (option price = 0.1).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 16%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 40%
Historical Volatility 24%: Delta .132: : Rating 165: Expected Val $4.00
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Buy BMC SOFTWARE(BMC) (BMC) Mar 22.5 Call options at 0.7 or lower (Stock Price = 22.3). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 23.5 (option price = 1.4). Exit if the stock price closes below 21.7 (option price = 0.5).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 23%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 45%
Historical Volatility 23%: Delta .477: : Rating 126: Expected Val $7.10
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Buy COOPER TIRE (CTB) Mar 17.5 Call options at 0.3 or lower (Stock Price = 16.3). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 17.5 (option price = 0.8). Exit if the stock price closes below 15.7 (option price = 0.2).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 19%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 45%
Historical Volatility 27%: Delta .280: : Rating 148: Expected Val $5.00
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Buy LOEWS CORP (LTR) Mar 100 Call options at 2.3 or lower (Stock Price = 99.3). After entry take profits if the stock price hits 103.3 (option price = 4.6). Exit if the stock price closes below 97.3 (option price = 1.5).
Probability of hitting Profit Goal 17%: Probability of hitting Stop Loss 39%
Historical Volatility 17%: Delta .471: : Rating 101: Expected Val $7.90